Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 1, 2025 • 3:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Peyton Stearns
58% · 11–8 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,460 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,460 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 37% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Peyton Stearns and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stearns enters with a 10–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kasatkina has posted a 12–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 5–2 over Stearns, including a win in their most recent meeting.