Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Strasbourg • Clay • May 19, 2026 • 11:20 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Peyton Stearns
58% · 11–8 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,132 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,132 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 37% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Peyton Stearns and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Strasbourg on May 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Stearns enters with a 2–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 5–2 over Stearns, including a win in their most recent meeting.