Match analytics

Peyton Stearns vs Amanda Anisimova · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2025 • 12:10 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Peyton Stearns

Key insights

Player performance profile

Peyton Stearns

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,647 points across 38 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.241% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.432% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.870% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
46%39% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Amanda Anisimova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,358 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.188% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.573% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.310% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
30%15% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Peyton Stearns and Amanda Anisimova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Stearns enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Anisimova has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Anisimova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stearns leads 1–0 over Anisimova, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Stearns and Anisimova have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.