Petra Marcinko vs Xinyu Gao · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 18, 2025 • 6:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Petra Marcinko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Petra Marcinko
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,193 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,193 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Xinyu Gao
59% · 10–7 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Petra Marcinko and Xinyu Gao are set to meet at the US Open on August 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Marcinko enters with a 35–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gao has posted a 21–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Marcinko, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Marcinko leads 2–0 over Gao, including a win in their most recent meeting.