Petra Marcinko vs Tatjana Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 19, 2026 • 12:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Petra Marcinko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Petra Marcinko
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~824 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~824 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tatjana Maria
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,913 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,913 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Petra Marcinko and Tatjana Maria are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Marcinko enters with a 2–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Maria has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.