Petra Kvitova vs Varvara Gracheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 5, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Varvara Gracheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Petra Kvitova
0% · 0–4 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,218 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,218 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Petra Kvitova and Varvara Gracheva are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Kvitova enters with a 0–4 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gracheva has posted a 20–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gracheva, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.