Pavel Kotov vs Otto Virtanen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Istanbul • Hard • Sep 2, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Otto Virtanen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Otto Virtanen
67% · 8–4 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,651 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,651 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pavel Kotov and Otto Virtanen are set to meet at the Istanbul on September 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Kotov enters with a 9–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Virtanen has posted a 16–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Virtanen, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Virtanen leads 2–1 over Kotov, including a win in their most recent meeting.