Pavel Kotov vs Leandro Riedi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Busan • Hard • Apr 16, 2026 • 2:10 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leandro Riedi
59% · 13–9 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,416 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,416 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 74% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.2 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pavel Kotov and Leandro Riedi are set to meet at the Busan on April 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kotov enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Riedi has posted a 13–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Riedi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Riedi leads 1–0 over Kotov, including a win in their most recent meeting.