Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuning (China) • Hard • Apr 10, 2026 • 4:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Pavel Kotov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ilia Simakin
66% · 43–22 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pavel Kotov and Ilia Simakin are set to meet at the Wuning (China) on April 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kotov enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Simakin has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Kotov leads 1–0 over Simakin, including a win in their most recent meeting.