Paula Badosa vs Gabriela Ruse Elena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Mar 10, 2026 • 7:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gabriela Ruse Elena
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,615 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,615 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 44% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paula Badosa and Gabriela Ruse Elena are set to meet at the Austin on March 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Badosa enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Elena has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Badosa leads 2–1 over Elena, including a win in their most recent meeting.