Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 19, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Paula Badosa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,254 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,254 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paula Badosa and Aliaksandra Sasnovich are set to meet at the Miami on March 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Badosa enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sasnovich has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Badosa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Badosa leads 2–1 over Sasnovich, including a win in their most recent meeting.