Paul Jubb vs James Story · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Aldershot • Hard • Aug 16, 2025 • 11:35 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Paul Jubb
Key insights
Player performance profile
Paul Jubb
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~260 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~260 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
James Story
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Paul Jubb and James Story are set to meet at the M25 Aldershot on August 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jubb enters with a 18–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Story has posted a 47–26 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jubb, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Jubb leads 3–1 over Story.