Patrick Zahraj vs Karl Poling · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelia • Hard • Mar 22, 2026 • 6:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Patrick Zahraj
Key insights
Player performance profile
Patrick Zahraj
50% · 11–11 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~905 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~905 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karl Poling
35% · 6–11 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Patrick Zahraj and Karl Poling are set to meet at the Morelia on March 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zahraj enters with a 11–11 record on hard courts in 2026, while Poling has posted a 6–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zahraj entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zahraj leads 2–0 over Poling, including a win in their most recent meeting.