Pablo Varillas Juan vs Maria Zarate Carlos · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Mar Del Plata • Clay • Sep 3, 2025 • 2:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Pablo Varillas Juan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Zarate Carlos
33% · 1–2 on hard
57% · 31–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Pablo Varillas Juan and Maria Zarate Carlos are set to meet at the M25 Mar Del Plata on September 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 31–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Carlos has posted a 31–23 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Juan entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 2–0 over Carlos, including a win in their most recent meeting.