Pablo Varillas Juan vs Andrea Collarini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tallahassee • Clay • Apr 15, 2025 • 2:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Andrea Collarini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Collarini
25% · 1–3 on hard
58% · 40–29 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~990 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~990 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Varillas Juan and Andrea Collarini are set to meet at the Tallahassee on April 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 31–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Collarini has posted a 40–29 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 4 wins.