Pablo Ficovich Juan vs Mateus Alves · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelia • Hard • Mar 24, 2026 • 6:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Pablo Ficovich Juan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Ficovich Juan
55% · 6–5 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,781 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,781 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mateus Alves
33% · 1–2 on hard
25% · 2–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Ficovich Juan and Mateus Alves are set to meet at the Morelia on March 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Juan enters with a 6–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Alves has posted a 1–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Juan entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 4–0 over Alves, including a win in their most recent meeting.