Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Marton Fucsovics · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Marton Fucsovics
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marton Fucsovics
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,418 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,418 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Carreno-Busta and Marton Fucsovics are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carreno-Busta enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Fucsovics has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Carreno-Busta, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Carreno-Busta and Fucsovics at the professional level.