Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Kamil Majchrzak · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 12, 2025 • 8:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Kamil Majchrzak
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,997 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,997 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Kamil Majchrzak
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,182 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,182 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Carreno-Busta and Kamil Majchrzak are set to meet at the Madrid on April 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carreno-Busta enters with a 13–13 record on clay courts in 2025, while Majchrzak has posted a 12–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Majchrzak leads 2–1 over Carreno-Busta, including a win in their most recent meeting.