Match analytics

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Kamil Majchrzak · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2025 • 9:00 AM

Hard

Final score

3 - 0

Winner Pablo Carreno-Busta

Key insights

Player performance profile

Pablo Carreno-Busta

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,997 points across 32 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.238% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.535% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.663% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%35% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Kamil Majchrzak

HARD

60% · 32 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,182 points across 45 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.972% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.179% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.941% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%35% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Kamil Majchrzak are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Carreno-Busta enters with a 26–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Majchrzak has posted a 23–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carreno-Busta entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Majchrzak leads 2–1 over Carreno-Busta, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Carreno-Busta and Majchrzak alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.