Match analytics

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Davis Cup - World Group • Unknown • Nov 20, 2025 • 9:15 AM

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Jakub Mensik

Key insights

Player performance profile

Pablo Carreno-Busta

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,997 points across 32 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.238% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.535% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.663% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%61% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jakub Mensik

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,043 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.187% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.657% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.958% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%69% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group on November 20, 2025 in a tour-level singles match. Carreno-Busta enters with a 41–28 record on tour-level courts in 2025, while Mensik has posted a 36–22 mark on tour-level courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mensik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mensik leads 3–0 over Carreno-Busta, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Mensik, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Carreno-Busta has gone 2–3 over the same span.