Otto Virtanen vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Thionville • Hard • Mar 7, 2026 • 2:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Otto Virtanen
67% · 8–4 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,651 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,651 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59% · 10–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 23% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Otto Virtanen and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer are set to meet at the Thionville on March 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Virtanen enters with a 8–4 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kjaer has posted a 10–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Virtanen entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kjaer leads 2–0 over Virtanen, including a win in their most recent meeting.