Oscar Weightman vs Federico Arnaboldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Faro • Hard • Mar 3, 2026 • 1:30 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Federico Arnaboldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Oscar Weightman
69% · 9–4 on hard
75% · 3–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Federico Arnaboldi
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Oscar Weightman and Federico Arnaboldi are set to meet at the M25 Faro on March 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Weightman enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Arnaboldi has posted a 1–2 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Arnaboldi leads 1–0 over Weightman, including a win in their most recent meeting.