Olivia Gadecki vs Arantxa Rus · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 12:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Olivia Gadecki
Key insights
Player performance profile
Olivia Gadecki
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,582 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,582 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arantxa Rus
44% · 12–15 on hard
58% · 28–20 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Olivia Gadecki and Arantxa Rus are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gadecki enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rus has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rus entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.