Nuria Brancaccio vs Sara Bejlek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rende • Clay • Oct 3, 2025 • 6:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Sara Bejlek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nuria Brancaccio
0% · 0–2 on hard
50% · 8–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,804 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,804 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sara Bejlek
75% · 9–3 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,739 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,739 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.6 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 89% | 100% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nuria Brancaccio and Sara Bejlek are set to meet at the Rende on October 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Brancaccio enters with a 31–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bejlek has posted a 31–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bejlek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bejlek leads 2–1 over Brancaccio, including a win in their most recent meeting.