Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 29, 2025 • 11:20 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Novak Djokovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Novak Djokovic and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the US Open on August 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Djokovic enters with a 25–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 19–19 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Djokovic leads 7–0 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.