Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Athens • Hard • Nov 4, 2025 • 5:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Novak Djokovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,962 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Novak Djokovic and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Athens on November 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Djokovic enters with a 25–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tabilo has posted a 21–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Djokovic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 2–1 over Djokovic.