Match analytics

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction

Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 1, 2025 • 11:35 AM

Grass

Final score

3 - 1

Winner Nikoloz Basilashvili

Key insights

Player performance profile

Nikoloz Basilashvili

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,981 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.972% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.362% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.138% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%45% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lorenzo Musetti

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.984% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.487% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.756% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
66%85% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Nikoloz Basilashvili and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 1, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Basilashvili enters with a 5–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Musetti has posted a 0–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Basilashvili and Musetti have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.