Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Vilius Gaubas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 4:00 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~841 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~841 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 57% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Vilius Gaubas
63% · 5–3 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Vilius Gaubas are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Alboran enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gaubas has posted a 5–3 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gaubas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gaubas leads 2–0 over Alboran, including a win in their most recent meeting.