Nicolas Mejia vs A. Hernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelia • Hard • Mar 24, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner A. Hernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Mejia
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~736 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~736 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.3 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
A. Hernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Mejia and A. Hernandez are set to meet at the Morelia on March 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mejia enters with a 23–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hernandez has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mejia, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mejia leads 2–1 over Hernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.