Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 11, 2026 • 3:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jurij Rodionov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Jarry
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,478 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,478 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.9 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Jarry and Jurij Rodionov are set to meet at the Madrid on April 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Jarry enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Rodionov has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rodionov leads 1–0 over Jarry, including a win in their most recent meeting.