Nicolas Arseneault vs Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos · Match odds & ELO prediction
M15 Sherbrooke • Hard • Mar 5, 2025 • 11:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Nicolas Arseneault
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Arseneault
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos
56% · 19–15 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Arseneault and Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos are set to meet at the M15 Sherbrooke on March 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Arseneault enters with a 26–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Carlos has posted a 19–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Arseneault entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Arseneault leads 2–1 over Carlos, including a win in their most recent meeting.