Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lyon 2 • Hard • Nov 10, 2024 • 10:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
65% · 13–7 on hard
50% · 17–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Lyon 2 on November 10, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Varona enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Aguilar has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Varona leads 3–2 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.