Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jakub Paul · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59% · 10–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 23% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Paul
62% · 23–14 on hard
63% · 12–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~135 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~135 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Jakub Paul are set to meet at the Valencia on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kjaer enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Paul has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kjaer leads 1–0 over Paul, including a win in their most recent meeting.