Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 5:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59% · 10–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 23% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francesco Maestrelli
61% · 11–7 on hard
0% · 0–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Francesco Maestrelli are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kjaer enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Maestrelli has posted a 0–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kjaer, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kjaer leads 1–0 over Maestrelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.