Naomi Osaka vs Yulia Putintseva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Washington • Hard • Jul 22, 2025 • 9:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Naomi Osaka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Naomi Osaka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,558 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,558 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yulia Putintseva
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,274 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,274 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.6 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Naomi Osaka and Yulia Putintseva are set to meet at the Washington on July 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Osaka enters with a 24–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Putintseva has posted a 17–17 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Osaka leads 4–0 over Putintseva, including a win in their most recent meeting.