Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,645 points across 25 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,645 points across 25 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 23% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Reilly Opelka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -9.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kjaer enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Opelka has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Opelka entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Opelka leads 1–0 over Kjaer, including a win in their most recent meeting.