BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofner · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 1:30 PM

Clay

Key insights

Player performance profile

Nikoloz Basilashvili

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,128 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.462% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.656% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.433% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%45% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Sebastian Ofner

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,604 points across 30 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.970% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.69% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.656% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
46%36% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Nikoloz Basilashvili and Sebastian Ofner are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Basilashvili enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Ofner has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ofner, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Basilashvili and Ofner at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Basilashvili and Ofner have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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