Moez Echargui vs Hugo Grenier · Match odds & ELO prediction
Villena • Clay • Oct 1, 2025 • 2:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Hugo Grenier
Key insights
Player performance profile
Moez Echargui
78% · 62–18 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,012 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,012 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +15.4 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Grenier
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,494 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,494 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Moez Echargui and Hugo Grenier are set to meet at the Villena on October 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Echargui enters with a 4–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Grenier has posted a 0–2 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Grenier leads 2–1 over Echargui, including a win in their most recent meeting.