Match analytics

Mitchell Krueger vs Murphy Cassone · Match odds & ELO prediction

Tiburon • Hard • Oct 2, 2025 • 6:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Mitchell Krueger

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mitchell Krueger

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,049 points across 20 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.436% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-11.40% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
13%2% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Murphy Cassone

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.850% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.024% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.213% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
38%22% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mitchell Krueger and Murphy Cassone are set to meet at the Tiburon on October 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Krueger enters with a 19–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cassone has posted a 34–23 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Cassone leads 3–2 over Krueger, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Krueger and Cassone alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.