BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney Kessler · Match odds & ELO prediction

Montreal • Hard • Jul 31, 2025 • 6:10 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner McCartney Kessler

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mirra Andreeva

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,457 points across 73 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.089% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.487% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.855% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%27% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

McCartney Kessler

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,030 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.655% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.747% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.965% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mirra Andreeva and McCartney Kessler are set to meet at the Montreal on July 31, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Andreeva enters with a 24–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kessler has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Andreeva entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Andreeva and Kessler have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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