Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • May 2, 2026 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mirra Andreeva
70% · 14–6 on hard
86% · 12–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
66%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mirra Andreeva and Marta Kostyuk are set to meet at the Madrid on May 2, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Andreeva enters with a 12–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kostyuk has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Andreeva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kostyuk leads 2–0 over Andreeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.