BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 30, 2025 • 1:15 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Coco Gauff

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mirra Andreeva

HARD

70% · 146 on hard

CLAY

86% · 122 on clay

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.491% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.982% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.957% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Coco Gauff

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,410 points across 82 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.671% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.999% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.386% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
72%90% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mirra Andreeva and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the Madrid on April 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Andreeva enters with a 11–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Gauff has posted a 18–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 5–0 over Andreeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Andreeva and Gauff have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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