Miriana Tona vs Lia Karatancheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bogota • Clay • Mar 29, 2026 • 6:45 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lia Karatancheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Miriana Tona
64% · 9–5 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.3 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lia Karatancheva
20% · 1–4 on hard
38% · 6–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~623 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~623 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Miriana Tona and Lia Karatancheva are set to meet at the Bogota on March 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tona enters with a 3–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Karatancheva has posted a 6–10 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Karatancheva leads 1–0 over Tona, including a win in their most recent meeting.