BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mingge Xu vs Lilli Tagger · Match odds & ELO prediction

Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 10, 2025 • 1:25 PM

Grass

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Mingge Xu

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mingge Xu

HARD

64% · 2715 on hard

GRASS

57% · 86 on grass

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~387 points across 3 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.833% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.652% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-7.48% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lilli Tagger

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,391 points across 9 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.655% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.082% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.179% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mingge Xu and Lilli Tagger are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 10, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Xu enters with a 8–6 record on grass courts in 2025, while Tagger has posted a 3–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tagger, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Xu leads 2–1 over Tagger, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Xu and Tagger alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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