Mingge Xu vs Lilli Tagger · Match odds & ELO prediction
Girls Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2025 • 12:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lilli Tagger
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mingge Xu
64% · 27–15 on hard
57% · 8–6 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~387 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~387 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lilli Tagger
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,391 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,391 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mingge Xu and Lilli Tagger are set to meet at the Girls Australian Open on January 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Xu enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tagger has posted a 7–4 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tagger, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Xu leads 2–1 over Tagger, including a win in their most recent meeting.