BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Michiel De Krom vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction

M25 Sabadell • Clay • May 3, 2025 • 8:10 AM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar

Key insights

Player performance profile

Michiel De Krom

CLAYSmall sample

50% · 11 on clay

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Daniel Merida Aguilar

HARD

63% · 159 on hard

CLAY

69% · 3516 on clay

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,757 points across 18 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.68% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.394% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.989% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
70%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Michiel De Krom and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the M25 Sabadell on May 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Krom enters with a 24–26 record on clay courts in 2025, while Aguilar has posted a 35–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Krom entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 4–0 over Krom, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Aguilar, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Krom has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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