Mia Ristic vs Sofia Costoulas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification • Clay • May 5, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mia Ristic
33% · 2–4 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Costoulas
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mia Ristic and Sofia Costoulas are set to meet at the Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification on May 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ristic enters with a 9–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Costoulas has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Costoulas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ristic leads 1–0 over Costoulas, including a win in their most recent meeting.