McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 5, 2026 • 1:25 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner McCartney Kessler
Key insights
Player performance profile
McCartney Kessler
50% · 7–7 on hard
80% · 4–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,492 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,492 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 57% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucia Bronzetti
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,146 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,146 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
McCartney Kessler and Lucia Bronzetti are set to meet at the Rome on May 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kessler enters with a 4–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Bronzetti has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kessler entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kessler leads 1–0 over Bronzetti, including a win in their most recent meeting.