Maya Joint vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 4:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maya Joint
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maya Joint
20% · 2–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
33%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,132 points across 75 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,132 points across 75 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.7 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Kenin
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,885 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,885 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maya Joint and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Joint enters with a 2–8 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kenin has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Joint, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Joint leads 3–0 over Kenin, including a win in their most recent meeting.