Maya Joint vs Sara Errani · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Maya Joint
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maya Joint
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
34%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,026 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,026 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sara Errani
20% · 1–4 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
39%
8 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,631 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,631 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maya Joint and Sara Errani are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Joint enters with a 13–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Errani has posted a 2–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Joint entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Joint leads 3–0 over Errani, including a win in their most recent meeting.